The easiest decision for the 12 members will be Alabama at No. 1. Ohio State and Clemson looks set at No. 2 and No. 3 with their seeding immaterial.
That leaves the fourth spot. Washington entered the week at No. 4 and beat Colorado, ranked eighth by the committee, by 31 points to win the Pac-12. Argument over and done with, right? Well, maybe not.
We’ve seen late switches after the final weekend before. And the committee starts fresh every week.
Penn State just won the hardest conference in the country by defeating Wisconsin. It also beat Ohio State as part of its nine-game win streak to end the season. Even with the conference championship and the head-to-head victory against the Buckeyes, however, it’s hard to see Urban Meyer’s team out with just one loss and wins against Wisconsin, Oklahoma and Michigan.
The Wolverines are also under consideration. They just happened to beat the Nittany Lions by 39 points in September. They also beat Colorado and Wisconsin.
In the end, it appears the Huskies have the best chance despite their weak non-conference schedule. So they get the nod.
Reminder: Some conferences may not fulfill their allotment. Asterisks denote a replacement pick.